Media mix modeling

The next dollar,
not the average one.

Bayesian MMM fit to your weekly spend and revenue. Adstock and saturation per channel, posteriors on every contribution, and marginal return ranked so reallocation has a reason.

Response curves · adstock and saturation fitted per channel

Marginal return on next dollar

Paid search3.4×
Organic3.1×
Paid social2.1×

This ordering, not the average, is what should drive reallocation.

How it works

01

Weekly rows in

One revenue column, one column per channel, fit on your own data — not a shared benchmark.

02

Fit on a worker

Fits queue to a modeling worker and refit on schedule. The page tells you when it is waiting and why.

03

Read the posterior

Baseline share, channel contribution, and marginal return, each with its credible interval.

What you get

Adstock and saturation

Carryover and diminishing returns estimated per channel from your data, not assumed from a benchmark.

Marginal return by channel

Return on the next dollar, ranked. The Budget Simulator reads these same curves.

Intervals on everything

A contribution without an interval is a guess. Every figure shows its width.

Contract checks before a fit

Not enough weeks, not enough variation, or a broken sequence is reported before a number is produced.

What it will not do

Boundaries we state up front, so the numbers are trusted.

  • It does not fit on a sample dataset. No data means no model, and the page says so.
  • It does not produce a number from a series with too little variation to identify.
  • It does not treat a rename as a new channel; fitted output keeps the labels it saw.

Also in the product